Daily archive

1. Fed & Macro

   〔Day Digest〕Hike Odds Collapse to ~25-32% on Soft CPI, Retail Sales and Payrolls While 30Y Auction at 25-Year High and Brent Near $90 Split the Tape - Warsh's Words Decide

   4 source channels · 3 min read

2. Fed & Macro

   〔Overnight Brief〕Weak US Data Wipes Out Fed Hike Bets, Dollar Heads for Sixth Drop in Seven Weeks — 30Y Auction Prices at 2001 Highs, RMP Paused [1][10][25]

   9 source channels · 3 min read

3. China Macro

   〔Day Digest〕July Credit Tilts to Direct Financing: M2 (7.7%) Outruns Loan Growth (5.1%) and NEV Sales Clear 60%, Yet Goods Retail Stays Soft - Financial Substitution vs Consumption Bifurcation

   8 source channels · 4 min read

4. China Macro

   〔Overnight Brief〕Fed Pauses RMP Purchases Unexpectedly, Wall Street Extends Hiatus to October; China's Q2 NIM Turns Up to 1.41% While July Loans Fall 340B yuan - Two-Speed Policy

   8 source channels · 3 min read

5. Strait of Hormuz

   〔Day Digest〕Hormuz Tanker Attack Meets 2.0 mb/d Iraqi Export Rebound; Iran Claims Undisputed Strait Control – August 17 MOU Deadline Tests Whether Talks Are Real

   7 source channels · 4 min read

6. Strait of Hormuz

   〔Overnight Brief〕Hormuz on the Brink: ADNOC Tanker Attacked, Trump Vows 'US Territory' as Iran Claims Sole Control of Strait — Diesel Tops $5

   8 source channels · 3 min read

7. AI Industry

   〔Day Digest〕Anthropic's $11.5B Beat Speeds AI Profit Clock by Two Years, but Nvidia's $500B Guarantee Machine Hands the Market a Credit Repricing - Two Trades Split the Tape

   11 source channels · 4 min read

8. AI Industry

   〔Overnight Brief〕Nvidia's $21B SpaceX Stake vs Broadcom's 5.9% Plunge: AI Capex Re-Priced from Demand to Credit Risk - Anthropic's 13x Revenue Surge Holds the Line

   8 source channels · 3 min read

9. Research Notes

   〔Day Digest〕End-July Bottom Declared by Haitong's Zhang Yidong: Strategic Bull from August, But No Chasing; CITIC Sees Ultra-Long Crowding as 30Y-10Y Compresses to 47bp - AI Survey Adds to Software Caution

   4 source channels · 3 min read

10. Research Notes

    〔Overnight Brief〕September Hike Odds Halve to ~35% as PPI Cools and StanChart Says No 2026 Hikes — Goldman Lifts FTSE/Stoxx Targets While Bonds Stay Hard to Trade

    6 source channels · 3 min read

11. Precious Metals

    〔Day Digest〕Gold Holds $4,400 as Rate-Hike Bets Fade; Options Show 43XX Defense vs 44XX Caps – 'Big Rally' Maybe November

    3 source channels · 1 min read

12. Precious Metals

    〔Overnight Brief〕Rate-Hike Odds Fade After U.S. Data Miss Lifts Gold to $4,395 and Silver to $65.38 – Oil Risk and FOMC Minutes Ahead

    6 source channels · 3 min read

13. Industrial Metals

    〔Overnight Brief〕Copper Backwardation Heads for Highest Since 2021 as Codelco Shutdown Reports Emerge; LME Holds $14,160, Policy Overhang Grows

    8 source channels · 2 min read

1. Fed & Macro

   〔Day Digest〕Cooling July PPI Pushes the Hike Window to December While the 30-Year Auction Clears at 5.216% – Front-End Relief Collides With Long-End Supply

   9 source channels · 4 min read

2. Fed & Macro

   〔Overnight Brief〕Fed Pauses Reserve Management Purchases; 30-Year Auction Yield Hits 2001 High

   7 source channels · 2 min read

3. China Macro

   〔Day Digest〕Corporate Loan Rates Slip Below 3% While July RMB Loans Fall ¥340B – PBOC's ¥1.35T Liquidity Push Sends 10Y to 1.68% Low

   9 source channels · 4 min read

4. China Macro

   〔Overnight Brief〕Anti-Involution Moves to Institutional Phase, PBOC Injects ¥1 Trillion; Mortgage Rates Enter '2% Range' Debate

   10 source channels · 3 min read

5. Strait of Hormuz

   〔Day Digest〕ADNOC Tankers Struck in Hormuz as Diesel Cracks Top $97, Asian Refiners Pay $10-14 Premiums for US Crude - Washington Denies Strike Push, Readies 'Unprecedented' Economic Isolation

   12 source channels · 4 min read

6. Strait of Hormuz

   〔Overnight Brief〕Iran Declares Hormuz Closed as US Vows Unprecedented Blockade; Drone Losses and Tanker Attacks Keep Oil Markets on Edge

   8 source channels · 4 min read

7. AI Industry

   〔Day Digest〕OpenAI Hits $40B Run Rate, GLM-5.3 Bets on Post-Training Scaling, While a Price War Breaks Out: Google Discounts Flash 50%, 'Cost-Per-Task' Replaces Token Math

   9 source channels · 4 min read

8. AI Industry

   〔Overnight Brief〕OpenAI Passes $40B Run Rate as Anthropic Courts IPO Investors; Google Ships Gemini 3.7 Flash, SanDisk Sets Aggressive Targets

   10 source channels · 3 min read

9. Research Notes

   〔Day Digest〕SanDisk's 80% Margin Guide Draws $2,250 JPMorgan Target and $2,200 Goldman, While TD's RMP Pause Query Stirs QT Debate - AI Storage vs Fed Uncertainty

   10 source channels · 3 min read

10. Research Notes

    〔Overnight Brief〕Fed Pause Backed, Yen Intervention Capacity, and Bond Rally on PPI

    7 source channels · 2 min read

11. Precious Metals

    〔Day Digest〕Profit-Taking Pulls Gold to $4,385.90 as Fed-Hike Odds Slide to 32%; Silver Drops 2% to $63.68 — Bank of Korea Enters Gold for First Time in 13 Years

    6 source channels · 2 min read

12. Precious Metals

    〔Overnight Brief〕Gold Slips Below $4,350 as Fed and Mideast Factors Weigh; Silver ETF Extends Inflows

    6 source channels · 1 min read

13. Industrial Metals

    〔Day Digest〕Lithium Leads: Carbonate Futures +2%, Spot Midpoint 151,600 Yuan/T (+2,250) on Salt-Lake Push, While Aluminum -13.6kt vs Zinc +3.1kt, Lead +4.6kt Split the SHFE Complex

    3 source channels · 2 min read

14. Industrial Metals

    〔Overnight Brief〕Overnight Brief: Industrial Metals — Aluminum Slips, Nickel Quota Signals, Chile/India Policy Moves

    6 source channels · 2 min read

1. Fed & Macro

   〔Day Digest〕Benign Inflation Curbs Fed Rate-Hike Bets, but Treasury Market Sends Cautionary Signal

   8 source channels · 3 min read

2. Fed & Macro

   〔Overnight Brief〕July CPI Cools Fed Hike Bets; 10-Year Auction Yield Hits 2007 High; AI Stocks Diverge

   7 source channels · 1 min read

3. China Macro

   〔Day Digest〕Guangdong-Alibaba Pact, PBOC Liquidity Push, and AI-Led Market Rebound: China Macro Day Digest

   9 source channels · 3 min read

4. China Macro

   〔Overnight Brief〕PBOC Debuts Mid-Month Overnight Repo and Signals Incremental Policy as China Bonds Rally

   8 source channels · 2 min read

5. Strait of Hormuz

   〔Day Digest〕Hormuz Standoff: Competing Control Claims, $600M Shipping Hit, and Iran's 'Attrition' Play

   12 source channels · 4 min read

6. Strait of Hormuz

   〔Overnight Brief〕Trump Declares 'Total Control' Over Hormuz as Iran Insists Strait Still Closed; Oil Holds Gains

   11 source channels · 3 min read

7. AI Industry

   〔Day Digest〕Anthropic Eyes Record $2T IPO Valuation; China Mobile Unveils Token Plans; IBM-OpenAI Enterprise AI Pact

   9 source channels · 2 min read

8. AI Industry

   〔Overnight Brief〕AI Infrastructure Shifts: CoreWeave Warns on Nvidia Dependence, Cerebras Cloud Surges, and DeepSeek V4 Pro Debuts

   7 source channels · 3 min read

9. Research Notes

   〔Day Digest〕Barclays Lifts CoreWeave & Cisco Targets; Citadel's 10 Bullish Reasons; China Research Backs Rail, Grid, 3D Printing

   6 source channels · 3 min read

10. Research Notes

    〔Overnight Brief〕Overnight Brief: Benign CPI Keeps Fed on Hold as AI Capex Reshapes the Inflation Debate

    9 source channels · 4 min read

11. Precious Metals

    〔Day Digest〕Gold Slips from Two-Month Peak as Flat PPI Masks Firm Core; UBS Sees $5,000 by H1 2027

    5 source channels · 2 min read

12. Precious Metals

    〔Overnight Brief〕Gold Holds Near $4,400 as July CPI Matches Forecasts; CME Moves to Extend 24/7 Trading to Silver

    4 source channels · 1 min read

13. Industrial Metals

    〔Day Digest〕Copper Demand Seen 50% Higher by 2040; Aluminum Slips on Supply Relief, Lithium Cuts Emerge

    7 source channels · 2 min read

14. Industrial Metals

    〔Overnight Brief〕Overnight Metals: Codelco Weighs El Teniente Expansion, Australia Backs Tomago, Indonesia Courts India in Nickel

    6 source channels · 2 min read

1. Fed & Macro

   〔Day Digest〕CPI Data Set to Determine Fed's September Move as Markets Brace

   6 source channels · 2 min read

2. China Macro

   〔Day Digest〕China's Central Bank Reaffirms Moderately Loose Policy; US CPI in Focus

   7 source channels · 2 min read

3. Strait of Hormuz

   〔Day Digest〕Hormuz Standoff Persists: Shipping at Weekly Low, Tanker Rates Surge 20-Fold

   5 source channels · 2 min read

4. AI Industry

   〔Day Digest〕AI Capital Spending Surges: Tencent, Samsung, and SpaceX Pour Billions into Compute

   8 source channels · 2 min read

5. Research Notes

   〔Day Digest〕Goldilocks Meets Dual Mandate: In-Line CPI, Weak Payrolls and the Yen's Katsu Curry Signal

   4 source channels · 3 min read

6. Precious Metals

   〔Day Digest〕Silver Surges Past $66, Gold Spikes Above $4,438 as CPI Keeps Fed in Play

   4 source channels · 2 min read

7. Industrial Metals

   〔Day Digest〕Lithium Build-Out Meets Alumina Supply Shock and PNG Copper Restart; Solid-State Capital Shifts Upstream

   4 source channels · 1 min read

No digest published that day; 406 records were indexed.

No digest published that day; 226 records were indexed.

No digest published that day; 314 records were indexed.

No digest published that day; 379 records were indexed.

No digest published that day; 316 records were indexed.

No digest published that day; 631 records were indexed.